I think we are getting some great value here on the total as both teams have played a lot of under teams this year giving us value on the over here. Colts just came off an embarrassing loss where they put up 8 points and you bet their offense is going to in my opinion abandon the running game to try to get off to a strong start. Andrew Lucky is a very talented QB, and I think he bounces back well following losses with the following point totals 23, 30, 17, 20, 20, 27, 39 and is perfect 7-0 SU and ATS following a loss. I think he will get to 20+ points and despite the Titans strong defense they are 30th in red zone defense allowing 65% TD's in the red zone.
For the Titans, I think this is a must win for them and the Colts defense is not exactly playing well. They are 28th in yards per attempt allowed and we all know Ryan Fitzpatrick is not afraid to take chances down the field. He's a high risk high reward type of player and he's either going to be connecting on deep throws or throwing pick sixes. I think he'll have a good game against a suspect Colts defense. I mean Kellen Clemens was 9-16 for 247 yards and 2 TD's. Colts can not play man defense and Ryan Fitzpatrick is a pretty smart guy and should be able to beat whatever the Colts throw at him. I really do like the Titans to come up with the upset, but won't be surprised if Luck wins again after a loss. However, I'm not sold on the Colts right now their offense has not proven they can move on without Reggie Wayne, and although the Titans just lost to the Jaguars, the leagues worst team. That was something many saw coming as the Jaguars have played well in some games and were off a bye while the Titans were most certainly peaking ahead to this game. Take the over big and back it up a bit with the Titans on the money line.
